The equation, in full
This page does not use a formula of its own. It uses the one published by Pandolf, Givoni and Goldman in the Journal of Applied Physiology in 1977, which has been the standard model for load-carriage planning ever since:
M = 1.5W + 2.0(W + L)(L÷W)² + η(W + L)(1.5V² + 0.35VG)
- M — metabolic rate, in watts
- W — body mass, kg
- L — external load, kg
- V — walking speed, m/s
- G — grade, per cent
- η — terrain coefficient
Watts become kilocalories per hour by the definition of the calorie: 1 kcal is 4184 J, so kcal/h = M × 3600 ÷ 4184 = M × 0.8604.
A worked example
An 80 kg person carrying 20 kg at 5 km/h (1.389 m/s) on a level dirt road (η = 1.1):
| Term | What it is | Watts |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5W | Standing there | 120 |
| 2.0(W+L)(L/W)² | Carrying the load | 12.5 |
| η(W+L)·1.5V² | Moving on the flat | 318.3 |
| η(W+L)·0.35VG | The hill (none here) | 0 |
| Total | Gross metabolic rate | 450.8 |
450.8 W × 0.8604 = 388 kcal per hour, of which about 103 kcal/h is the standing term. So the ruck itself is costing roughly 285 kcal per hour net.
Why there are three answers and not one
The 1.5W term is the cost of being upright and alive. It is in the equation because the equation predicts a total metabolic rate, not an increment — and it means that a "calories burned" figure taken straight from M includes energy your body would have spent sitting on the sofa.
So the calculator reports three lines:
- Gross — everything, straight from the equation.
- Standing — the 1.5W term alone, over the same time.
- Net — the difference, which is what the ruck added.
Which one you want depends on what you are doing with it. If you are comparing two rucks, use gross; the standing term is the same in both and cancels. If you are adding this to a daily total that already assumes a basal metabolic rate, use net, or you will count the same energy twice.
What the pack actually costs
The load appears in the equation twice, and the two appearances behave very differently.
It adds to W + L, the mass being moved, which scales the walking and hill terms linearly. And it has a term of its own — 2.0(W + L)(L÷W)² — which grows with the square of the load-to-body-weight ratio. At a light load that squared term is almost nothing; at a heavy one it dominates.
For our 80 kg walker at 5 km/h on a dirt road:
| Pack | kcal/h | Extra over no pack |
|---|---|---|
| 0 kg | 322 | — |
| 10 kg | 352 | +9% |
| 20 kg | 388 | +20% |
| 30 kg | 431 | +34% |
| 40 kg | 484 | +50% |
Notice the steps: the first 10 kg buys 9%, the next 10 kg buys another 11, and then the increments keep growing. Doubling the load from 20 to 40 kg does not double the extra cost — it goes from 20% to 50%, two and a half times as much.
Hills are expensive
The grade term is η(W + L) × 0.35VG, and the thing to notice is that it is multiplied by both the total mass and the speed. A hill with a pack is disproportionately costly compared with a hill without one.
Our 80 kg walker with a 20 kg pack at 5 km/h on a dirt road costs 450.8 W on the flat. Put a 10% gradient under them and the grade term alone adds 534.7 W — more than the entire flat-ground cost. The total goes from 388 to 848 kcal/h.
That is why a hilly route is not a slightly harder version of a flat one, and why an average gradient across a rolling route under-reports the real cost: the climbs cost far more than the descents save, and the equation is not even willing to talk about the descents.
Why downhill is refused
Put a negative grade into the equation and the third term goes negative. Make it negative enough and the predicted cost falls below 1.5W — below the cost of standing still — which cannot be right. Walking downhill costs less than walking on the flat, and it does not cost less than standing.
The 1977 model was fitted on level and uphill walking and was never intended to run in reverse. A downhill correction was published separately, and this calculator does not implement it. Implementing half of a model you have not validated produces confident numbers with nothing behind them, which is worse than declining the question.
So the grade field accepts zero and above. If your route is genuinely net-downhill, the honest answer is that this page cannot estimate it.
Terrain coefficients
These are published values from Pandolf and colleagues and from Soule and Goldman, not estimates made here:
| Ground | η |
|---|---|
| Blacktop or treadmill | 1.0 |
| Dirt road | 1.1 |
| Light brush | 1.2 |
| Heavy brush | 1.5 |
| Swampy bog | 1.8 |
| Loose sand | 2.1 |
| Soft snow, 15 cm | 2.5 |
| Soft snow, 25 cm | 3.3 |
| Soft snow, 35 cm | 4.1 |
The coefficient multiplies the entire movement term, so these are not small adjustments. Loose sand at 2.1 more than doubles the cost of moving compared with tarmac; 35 cm of soft snow quadruples it. Our example ruck goes from 388 kcal/h on a dirt road to 637 in loose sand.
What the equation cannot do
It is a population prediction, and it has documented limits. These are worth knowing before treating any number on this page as yours.
- It under-predicts outside its fitted range. Drain and colleagues (2017) found systematic under-prediction at higher speeds and heavier loads. The calculator flags speeds above 1.9 m/s (about 6.8 km/h) and loads above 70 kg as outside the range it was built on.
- It is a walking model. Not running, not load-carrying in the hands, not stair climbing.
- It does not know about clothing. Bach and colleagues (2016) found it predicts poorly for encapsulating protective clothing, where heat stress changes the picture.
- It does not know about you. Fitness, gait efficiency, how well the pack fits, footwear, temperature, altitude, fatigue — none of these are inputs, and all of them move real energy cost.
What it is genuinely good for is comparison. The difference between 20 and 30 kg, between tarmac and sand, between flat and a 5% grade — those comparisons hold up much better than any single absolute figure, because the individual factors it cannot see are roughly the same on both sides.
METs, and comparing this with other activities
The calculator also reports the figure in METs, which is the unit activity tables use. One MET is the energy cost of sitting quietly — about 1 kcal per kilogram of body weight per hour, or 1.162 W/kg — so a figure in METs is a metabolic rate divided by your own mass, which makes it comparable between people of different sizes.
Our example ruck comes to 4.85 METs; the same walk without the pack is 4.03. That puts a 20 kg ruck at 5 km/h somewhere around brisk walking or easy cycling, and makes the point that rucking is a moderate activity carried on for a long time rather than a hard one.
The other useful comparison the calculator gives is kcal per kilometre, which for the example is about 78. Per-hour figures reward walking faster; per-kilometre figures reward carrying more and reward nothing else, which is a truer picture of what a ruck actually is.
Sources
- Pandolf KB, Givoni B, Goldman RF. Predicting energy expenditure with loads while standing or walking very slowly. Journal of Applied Physiology 1977;43(4):577–581.
- Soule RG, Goldman RF. Terrain coefficients for energy cost prediction. Journal of Applied Physiology 1972;32(5):706–708.
- Drain JR, Billing DC, Neesham-Smith D, Aisbett B. Predicting physiological capacity of human load carriage — a review. Applied Ergonomics 2017.
- Bach AJE, Costello JT, Borg DN, Stewart IB. The Pandolf load carriage equation is a poor predictor of metabolic rate while wearing explosive ordnance disposal protective clothing. Ergonomics 2016.
Frequently asked questions
How many calories does rucking burn?
For an 80 kg person carrying 20 kg at 5 km/h on a level dirt road, this equation predicts about 388 kcal per hour gross — of which roughly 103 kcal/h is what the body would have spent simply being awake and upright. The same walk without the pack comes to about 322 kcal/h, so the 20 kg is costing around 20% extra. Your own figure depends on your mass, the load, the speed, the gradient and the ground.
What is the Pandolf equation?
A published prediction of the metabolic cost of walking with a load, from Pandolf, Givoni and Goldman in the Journal of Applied Physiology in 1977. It takes body mass, external load, walking speed, grade and a terrain coefficient, and returns a metabolic rate in watts. It has been the standard model for military load-carriage planning for nearly fifty years, which is why this page uses it rather than an invented formula.
Why does the calculator show three different calorie figures?
Because the equation produces a gross figure that already contains your resting cost. The three lines are: gross, the total metabolic rate during the ruck; standing, what simply being upright for the same time would have cost; and net, the difference, which is what the ruck actually added. If you are adding this to a daily total that already assumes a basal rate, the net figure is the one that avoids double-counting.
How much does the pack add?
Less than most people expect at moderate loads, and then increasingly more. The load appears twice in the equation: once in a term of its own, which grows with the square of the load-to-body-weight ratio, and once by adding to the total mass being moved. For an 80 kg person at 5 km/h on a dirt road, 20 kg adds about 20%. Double the load to 40 kg and it is not double the extra — it is considerably more, because of that squared term.
Does the equation work for downhill?
No, and this calculator refuses negative grades rather than guessing. Pandolf was fitted on level and uphill walking. Put a large enough negative grade in and the third term goes negative and the predicted cost falls below the cost of standing still, which is plainly wrong. A separate downhill correction was published later; it is not implemented here, because implementing half of a model you have not validated is worse than declining the question.
What are the terrain factors?
Published coefficients from Pandolf and colleagues and from Soule and Goldman: blacktop or a treadmill is 1.0, a dirt road 1.1, light brush 1.2, heavy brush 1.5, a swampy bog 1.8, loose sand 2.1, and soft snow 2.5, 3.3 or 4.1 depending on depth. They multiply the whole movement term, so soft snow is not slightly harder than tarmac — at 2.5 it more than doubles the cost of moving.
How accurate is this?
It is a population prediction, not a measurement of you. Drain and colleagues found in 2017 that the equation systematically under-predicts outside the conditions it was fitted on, particularly at higher speeds and heavier loads, and Bach and colleagues found in 2016 that it predicts poorly for people in encapsulating protective clothing. Individual variation from fitness, gait, pack fit, footwear and heat is not captured at all. Treat it as a good way to compare two rucks, not as a number to eat against.
Is rucking better than walking for burning calories?
It costs more energy per hour, which is what the calculator shows. Whether that makes it better for you is a different question involving joint loading, your back, how long you can sustain it and what you enjoy enough to keep doing. This page works out energy cost; it does not give training or medical advice.
How much weight should I put in my pack?
That is a training and injury question rather than an arithmetic one, and it depends on your history, your fitness and what you are training for. What the calculator can tell you is the cost of a given load, and it flags a load-to-body-weight ratio above 60% as outside anything the equation was fitted on.
Can I use this for a weighted vest, or for hiking with a backpack?
For any walking with an external load carried close to the body, yes — that is what the equation describes, and it does not distinguish a rucksack from a vest. It is a walking model, so it does not extend to running, and it says nothing about carrying a load in your hands, which is metabolically quite different.
Are my numbers sent anywhere?
No. The calculation runs in JavaScript in your own browser. Nothing you type is transmitted or stored.